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Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute

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Applied to Higher-Order Forecasts 9d ago

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Applied to Scorable Functions: A Format for Algorithmic Forecasting 11d ago

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Applied to Podcast: Is Forecasting a Promising EA Cause Area? 2mo ago

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Applied to Distinctions when Discussing Utility Functions 3mo ago

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Applied to Open Technical Challenges around Probabilistic Programs and Javascript 9mo ago

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Applied to Using Points to Rate Different Kinds of Evidence 9mo ago

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Applied to Announcing Squiggle Hub 10mo ago

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Applied to Patrick Gruban on Effective Altruism Germany and Nonprofit Boards in EA 1y ago

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Applied to Relative values for animal suffering and ACE Top Charities 1y ago

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Applied to Relative Value Functions: A Flexible New Format for Value Estimation 1y ago

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Applied to A flaw in a simple version of worldview diversification 1y ago

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Applied to Thinking of Convenience as an Economic Term 1y ago

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Applied to Owain Evans on LLMs, Truthful AI, AI Composition, and More 1y ago

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Applied to Accuracy Agreements: A Flexible Alternative to Prediction Markets 1y ago

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Applied to Winners of the Squiggle Experimentation and 80,000 Hours Quantification Challenges 1y ago

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Applied to My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence. 1y ago

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Applied to Who is Uncomfortable Critiquing Who, Around EA? 1y ago

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Applied to Select Challenges with Criticism & Evaluation Around EA 1y ago

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Applied to Straightforwardly eliciting probabilities from GPT-3 1y ago

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Applied to Eli Lifland on Navigating the AI Alignment Landscape 1y ago