Models

Applied to Forecasting: the way I think about it 2d ago

Applied to Robust longterm comparisons 3d ago

Applied to FIRE & EA: Seeking feedback on "Fi-lanthropy" Calculator 1mo ago

Applied to How Often Does ¬Correlation ⇏ ¬Causation? 2mo ago

Applied to Probly: a Python-like language for probabilistic modelling 2mo ago

Applied to Carlo: uncertainty analysis in Google Sheets 2mo ago

Applied to Which countries should be prioritised in preventing the intensification of factory farming in Sub Saharan Africa? 2mo ago

Applied to Some (problematic) aesthetics of what constitutes good work in academia 2mo ago

Applied to Saving lives in normal times is better to improve the longterm future than doing so in catastrophes? 3mo ago

Applied to Everett branches, inter-light cone trade and other alien matters: Appendix to “An ECL explainer” 3mo ago

Applied to Cooperating with aliens and AGIs: An ECL explainer 3mo ago

Applied to My current best guess on how to aggregate forecasts 3mo ago

Applied to Should Open Philanthropy build detailed quantitative models which estimate global catastrophic risk? 3mo ago

Applied to Location Modelling for Post-Nuclear Refuge Bunkers 3mo ago

Applied to Scenario planning for AI x-risk 3mo ago

Applied to Gaia Network: An Illustrated Primer 4mo ago

Applied to Cost-effectiveness of restricted donations 4mo ago

Applied to Some biases and selection effects in AI risk discourse 5mo ago

Applied to Expected value and uncertainty without full Monte Carlo simulations 5mo ago

Applied to EA thoughts from Israel-Hamas war 5mo ago