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Parent Topic: Forecasting
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Arb is a research consultancy that conducts original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines primarily in forecasting, artificial intelligence, and pandemic preparedness.

History

Arb was founded in 2022 by Misha Yagudin and Gavin Leech.

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Posts tagged Arb

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205
Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
· · 4m read
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186
Experimental longtermism: theory needs data
Jan_Kulveit
· · 5m read
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What I learned from the criticism contest
Gavin
· · 6m read
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We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit
· · 13m read
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Impact Assessment of AI Safety Camp (Arb Research)
Sam Holton
· · 13m read
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The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
· · 13m read
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[Linkpost] Dan Luu: Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
Linch
· · 5m read
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Misha Yagudin and Ozzie Gooen Discuss LLMs and Effective Altruism
Ozzie Gooen
· · 17m read
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Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets
niplav
· · 2m read
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Beware popular discussions of AI "sentience"
David Mathers
· · 10m read
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36
Governments Might Prefer Bringing Resources Back to the Solar System Rather than Space Settlement in Order to Maintain Control, Given that Governing Interstellar Settlements Looks Almost Impossible
David Mathers
· · 6m read
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Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
David Mathers
· · 9m read
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Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
David Mathers
· · 9m read
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Metaculus Launches Future of AI Series, Based on Research Questions by Arb Research
christian
· · 1m read
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